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Known as the
Mountain Kingdom, Lesotho is situated in the southern region of
Africa. It is a small mountainous country covering a land area of
approximately 30,000 sq. km. Landlocked and completely encircled by
South Africa, Lesotho is one of the smallest countries in the world,
but the challenges its people are facing are enormous. The major
factors contributing to the currently very difficult situation is
high levels of both HIV, poverty and malnutrition in combination
with seriously decreasing revenues to the Government budget due to
the global economic downturn.
The country is one of the 49 Least
Developed Countries (LDC) in the world and due to low human
development and the increasingly difficult development situation, is
it unlikely to graduate this category in the near future.
In the 2009 Human Development Index,
Lesotho is ranked 156 out of 177 countries. According to the Gini
index, it is one of the most unequal countries in the world. With a
value of 52.5 (where 0 is complete equality and 100 reflects
complete inequality), it is placed together with countries such as
Guatemala and Liberia in terms of inequality. Persistence of
inequalities in growth would have a direct impact on achievement of
the MDGs, especially poverty, hunger and health related issues.
The inflation rate has remained
relatively low in Lesotho, and the consumer price index (CPI) has
been increasing on average by 7 per cent annually since 2000. In
2002, 2003, and 2007 onwards, the inflation has been above average,
following the global increase in prices. The inflation in global
food prices moderated after 2008, but the inflation on food items in
Lesotho has continued to be high. This can have an enormous impact
on achievement of MDGs in a country like Lesotho, where malnutrition
and poverty are .
Lesotho’s economy is highly open, with
imports amounting up to about 90 per cent of GDP. The country has
been highly dependent on inflows of workers’ remittances and
receipts from the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). SACU has
been a major revenue source for the government but the expected
declines in this will put considerable pressure on the government’s
budget in the coming years. The number of miners employed in South
Africa has also gone down from the peak years and many families,
especially in rural areas, have lost a vital source of income.
Exports
Lesotho has limited natural resources
and a narrow production and export base. The major export products
are textiles, diamonds, water and electricity. The garment sector
has been the main contributor to rapidly growing exports and it
plays a critical role in generating employment. The sector employed
approximately 42,000 people in 2008 and accounted for over 11 per
cent of the GDP. But as a result of the global economic crisis,
demand is declining in its major export market, the USA. Thousands
of workers have lost their jobs as factories have had to close down
and it is likely that this trend will continue. The value of the
diamond exports has also been growing rapidly since 2002 and the
perspectives for the industry look bright, despite a temporary
scaling back of operations due to the global crisis. The main market
for diamond export is the EU. In 2009, the sector contributed almost
10 per cent to GDP. Lesotho exports water and electricity to South
Africa through the outputs from two large dams. The water and
electricity sector contributed to 3.8 per cent to the GDP in 2008,
which is slightly less than during the past ten years. In addition
to the two existing dams, a third one is being built and fourth one
will be started in two years.
Food security
Currently, Lesotho cannot produce
enough food to meet the domestic demand. Almost 70 per cent of the
annual cereal requirement is imported, mainly from South Africa. The
majority of the people, especially in the rural areas, rely heavily
on subsistence farming. But arable land is limited and less than 10
percent of the country is presently under cultivation. A large
proportion of the rural population is caught in a poverty trap, with
limited crop yields and little or no resources to buy imported food.
As a result of this, over 40 per cent per cent of the population are
malnourished.
Official Development Assistance
(ODA)
The official
development assistance (ODA) net receipts have risen steadily and in
2008 it was USD 136 million or approximately 10 per cent of the GNI,
according to OECD figures. Only less than one third of the
commitments, which was USD 443 million, were actually given. The
foreign grants and loans given to the government went up by over 200
per cent between 2000/01 and 2008/09. The economic crisis is not
expected to have a negative impact on the support in medium term. In
fact it is expected that the ODA will continue to increase,
especially due to direct budget support from the World Bank and EC
and a compact signed between the Government and the Millennium
Challenge Corporation in 2007. The compact allocates USD 362.6
million to the areas of water, health and private sector development
for a five-year period, 2009-2013.
Development Planning
The Government of Lesotho currently
operates with an interim development framework as the Poverty
Reduction Strategy ran out in 2007. The Government has indicated
that the new National Development Plan will be in place in 2012/13.
This is much needed, and if the plan is closely links development
targets to the MDGs, it can
On a positive note, this is an ideal
time to develop the plan and provide response mechanisms to the new
challenges and link the development targets to the MDG framework in
order to ensure targeted and successful interventions. This also
links to the Vision 2020, developed after country-wide consultations
in 2004: ‘By the year 2020 Lesotho shall be a stable democracy, a
united and prosperous nation at peace with itself and its
neighbours. It shall have a healthy and well developed human
resource base, its economy shall be strong, its environment well
managed and its technology well established’.
Governance
After the civil unrest following
disputed elections in 1998 settled, the political atmosphere has
been relatively calm. There have been no major changes government
structures which should significantly impact the work towards
achieving the MDGs. However, since the elections in 2007 there has
been a dispute between the ruling Lesotho Congress for Democracy
(LDC) and opposition parties regarding the proportional seat
allocation in parliament related to the Mixed Member Proportional
(MMP) model used in Lesotho. With the 1998 unrest in mind, all
parties have made efforts to avoid an escalation of the controversy.
The Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) was called to serve
as a mediator between the parties and the UN House has often been
used as a neutral meeting poin for the negotiation talks. In 2010,
the SADC mandate ended without a deal between the parties. The
mediation process is now led by the Christian Council of Lesotho
(CCL) with the support of SADC. In the last few weeks of March,
there were signs of a deal coming closer.
Although this political controversy
has not directly impacted the work towards development goals in the
country, it is possible that it has had an indirectly effect by
taking considerable time and attention of Government and possibly
also hampered the public debate on development issues as political
parties have focused on the controversy.
On governance issues such as
government effectiveness, rule of law and voice and accountability,
Lesotho ranks better than the average Sub-Saharan African country.
One of the major achievements has been in improving public financial
management systems, which will principally improve public
expenditure management, accountability and timely reporting and
auditing of public accounts. Other related reforms include the
adoption of the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) approach
which has now been rolled out to all Ministries, programme based
budgeting, and modernisation of procurement system and overhauling
public finance laws in line with the policy reforms. The Government
is increasingly focusing attention on service delivery, which is
likely to have a positive impact on MDGs. |